what is stopping us actuallyhttps://twitter.com/nic__carter/status/1250599531928051714 …
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Replying to @eigenrobot
China would almost certainly invade Taiwan our plate is full as-is
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Replying to @nematophy @eigenrobot
Why? They're already pissed off. Pissing them off more or less is just diplomacy. Neither results in invasion.
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Replying to @satsuchan2 @eigenrobot
It wouldn't be viewed as just pissing them off, but as closer to an act of war PRC genuine considers Taiwan a province in rebellion that will one day be returned to mainland control. Actually threatening this (which a recognition would) would force them to act
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And they've said things to that effect
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Replying to @nematophy @satsuchan2
they don't have capacity to do anything serious right now not yet
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Replying to @eigenrobot @satsuchan2
You're probably right now (especially with COVID), but the window is closing
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even then an invasion would require months of work and obvious buildup Also their helicopter carrier is current on fire
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