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eigenrobot's profile
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
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@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
Joined July 2013

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    1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 3 Apr 2020

      pros and cons of liquidating the Expert's as a class

      56 replies 28 retweets 287 likes
      Show this thread
    2. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 3 Apr 2020

      deexpertification

      5 replies 4 retweets 77 likes
      Show this thread
    3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 3 Apr 2020

      eigenrobot Retweeted A. S. "may have been obtained through hacking"

      compelling DUELING GUARANTEES EXPERTSHIPhttps://twitter.com/LoCtrl/status/1246292476073140224?s=19 …

      eigenrobot added,

      A. S. "may have been obtained through hacking" @LoCtrl
      Replying to @LoCtrl @chasewpatterson
      @eigenrobot ITT: restoration of dueling as an alternative to eliminating experts as a class.
      6 replies 2 retweets 53 likes
      Show this thread
    4. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 4 Apr 2020

      "i mean could you imagine a world without Experts"pic.twitter.com/NJPjuOsApE

      3 replies 10 retweets 46 likes
      Show this thread
    5. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 4 Apr 2020

      eigenrobot Retweeted Roko.eth

      brutalhttps://twitter.com/RokoMijicUK/status/1246509433145917443?s=19 …

      eigenrobot added,

      Roko.eth @RokoMijic
      I wonder what the professional epidemiologists were posting about here on twitter in mid-late January when we had our last chance to stop the worst pandemic in our lifetimes? Let's have a look: https://twitter.com/EpiEllie/status/1219360231412641793 …
      Show this thread
      4 replies 3 retweets 22 likes
      Show this thread
    6. docteur Boris Thomsonn‏ @djeremr 5 Apr 2020
      Replying to @eigenrobot

      Funny thread and got a point but big strawman there. Imo by mid-end january, this was not just a medical issue. US intel only started buzzing red few weeks later, how could epidemologist see it coming, solely based on medical skills? And ok, especially those epidemologists...

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 5 Apr 2020
      Replying to @djeremr

      I saw it coming in January based on (i) China's response and (ii) thinking about how contagions work for five seconds See my timeline from 23 January on 🙃

      1:11 PM - 5 Apr 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 17 Likes
      • World's Greatest Dad per Capita Momofuku Ando The Gentleman Sausage Wæcnan Pedro Electrico RE-OPEN THE SIZZLERS A. S. "may have been obtained through hacking" unique indemnifier docteur Boris Thomsonn
      4 replies 1 retweet 17 likes
        1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        2. Rush the House‏ @RushTheHouse 5 Apr 2020

          From the WHO and others. We might be able to cut flu deaths in the future with simple masks. By the way, we should see a sharp drop in flu and pneumonia deaths this year, due to #COVID Precautions and heightened awareness.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. End of conversation
        1. Rush the House‏ @RushTheHouse 5 Apr 2020
          Replying to @eigenrobot @djeremr

          Some saw it coming in November. Just saying, there was a clear action based on an expectation of strong downturn, exposure of the action, denial, then silence. Too bad I didn't have a million to take advantage of it. Neither did almost anyone in CD46.https://www.thestreet.com/investing/stocks/bridgewater-bets-big-on-market-drop-by-march-report-15178391 …

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. docteur Boris Thomsonn‏ @djeremr 5 Apr 2020
          Replying to @eigenrobot

          ...taking a political decision is harder. In France the head of health overeacted to H1N1 (looots of vaccine + mask), you have no idea the shit she ate! Now the same people who lynched her back then are scantifying her (almost as stupid). That we got there is also a big failure🙄

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 5 Apr 2020
          Replying to @djeremr

          yeah I saw that 😥 I guess we learn our lesson at least

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. docteur Boris Thomsonn‏ @djeremr 5 Apr 2020
          Replying to @eigenrobot

          That's kind of it, geting it right required not so much epidemology skills than a "softer" assessment based on available data (OSINT like what u did). For me the real failure was not having epidemologist properly interact with people able to extract the data (eg intel). Also...

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. A. S. "may have been obtained through hacking"‏ @LoCtrl 5 Apr 2020
          Replying to @eigenrobot @djeremr

          This is @lopezdeprado point: there is no need for fancy forecasting when all you need to do is to look at f**king China, aka "nowcasting."

          1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
        3. docteur Boris Thomsonn‏ @djeremr 13 Apr 2020
          Replying to @LoCtrl @eigenrobot @lopezdeprado

          Sorry for the delay, I just read that "nowcasting" thing cleaning my tabs You (and him) got a point but I feel he's overselling the term a bit. He just pleads more ressource to analyse the data instead of fancy models cauz they rely on outdated indicators in the information age?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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