What are likely flash points? Russia Turkey Syria Iran Iraq then Everyone Taiwain (less likely?) Ukraine/Baltics South America somewhere? Hm what elsehttps://twitter.com/jamespoulos/status/1245730842900455426 …
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Replying to @eigenrobot
I'd say the normal top 3 were - Pakistan->India - China->Taiwan - Iran hits israel or saudis (or us ships) - I think "Russia gets grabby" (e.g. w/ Belarus) is probably a concern, but i don't think anybody would be rapidly coalititioning to stop them.
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Replying to @Bugs_Meany @eigenrobot
*that said, i don't agree w/ Poulous i don't think anybody is going to war as a consequence of virus instability. I think people can certainly go to war - shit happens! - i just don't think this thing makes it more-certain, or inevitable
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Replying to @Bugs_Meany @eigenrobot
Dark horse: US-Mexico. If things down there really go south with the virus and the cartels make a serious move, you could have some very ugly low-level fighting.
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hehehe
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