What are likely flash points? Russia Turkey Syria Iran Iraq then Everyone Taiwain (less likely?) Ukraine/Baltics South America somewhere? Hm what elsehttps://twitter.com/jamespoulos/status/1245730842900455426 …
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Replying to @eigenrobot
I'd say the normal top 3 were - Pakistan->India - China->Taiwan - Iran hits israel or saudis (or us ships) - I think "Russia gets grabby" (e.g. w/ Belarus) is probably a concern, but i don't think anybody would be rapidly coalititioning to stop them.
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Replying to @eigenrobot
I don't think anyone in Europe would say boo about it. They'd let US footstamp and talk tough in the UN, there would be some sanctioning, but then everyone would make some deal and go back to relying on Russian Nat Gas to maintain their 'clean energy' facade.
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Replying to @eigenrobot @Bugs_Meany
Also they're in NATO
6:30 PM - 2 Apr 2020
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