oh ffs no one is taking a victory lap while the world is collapsing
the likelihood of this outcome was blindingly obvious to anyone paying attention to Wuhan and thinking about how contagions work for five seconds
to quote the eminent @calculatedrisk, HOOCOODANODE https://twitter.com/ne0liberal/status/1244637479938019329 …
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i was ofc paying attention from the beginning because this is my stuff but it really wasn't until marc lipsitch put out his 40-70% of the globe estimate that i started worrying much, around the middle of feb
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Ooc did you see the body bags etc footage? That's what convinced most china watchers with 0 virology background.
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