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eigenrobot's profile
eigenrobot
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@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
Joined July 2013

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    1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 29 Mar 2020

      eigenrobot Retweeted Eileen Guo

      hmmhttps://twitter.com/eileenguo/status/1244296947705364480 …

      eigenrobot added,

      Eileen GuoVerified account @eileenguo
      #Wuhan residents estimate, based on calculations of cremations and urns now being returned to families, that between 42k-46k (!!) died in city + surrounding areas in the 2.5 months of lockdown. Far more than official figure of 2535 deaths. #COVID19 http://www.rfa.org/english/news/china/wuhan-deaths-03272020182846.html …
      Show this thread
      3 replies 2 retweets 28 likes
    2. Josh You‏ @justjoshinyou13 29 Mar 2020
      Replying to @eigenrobot

      possibly most from other causes? i think a city of 10m people would typically have like 10k deaths per month from all causes.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. loaded dice genetic gambler‏ @SilverVVulpes 29 Mar 2020
      Replying to @justjoshinyou13 @eigenrobot

      not hard to estimate that for 11 million people and previous stat of 7,44 dead per 1000 inhabitans in Wuhan this if true and over two and a half months means at least half are not due to other causes (not that far tho, close to 40% other causes)

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 29 Mar 2020
      Replying to @SilverVVulpes @justjoshinyou13

      really hard to say overall NYC deaths are actually down YoY apparently big effect from staying indoors?

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. loaded dice genetic gambler‏ @SilverVVulpes 29 Mar 2020
      Replying to @eigenrobot @justjoshinyou13

      this is so obvious to me I feel I must be missing something for your to say it but NYC has barely started obviously????

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 29 Mar 2020
      Replying to @SilverVVulpes @justjoshinyou13

      yeah I'm just saying that if you're trying to estimate c*v*d deaths from changes in total deaths you also probably need to account for the way that lockdown measures might be affecting non-plague death trends

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. loaded dice genetic gambler‏ @SilverVVulpes 29 Mar 2020
      Replying to @eigenrobot @justjoshinyou13

      right but while I now understand better what you mean you have no reason to assume it's in the direction of less overall non-corona death.if hospitals are so full they have to build new ones in a few days that also get full you might get less help for other lifethreatening issues

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 29 Mar 2020
      Replying to @SilverVVulpes @justjoshinyou13

      sure! I'm not sure what you're objecting to🤔

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. loaded dice genetic gambler‏ @SilverVVulpes 29 Mar 2020
      Replying to @eigenrobot @justjoshinyou13

      not objecting I was just trying to help clarify @justjoshinyou13 that these numbers if true (the source is like some radio) prob mostly represent corona death, that there's uncertainty due to non-independence and tha tit goes both ways

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 29 Mar 2020
      Replying to @SilverVVulpes @justjoshinyou13

      👍👍

      5:30 PM - 29 Mar 2020
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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