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Replying to @eigenrobot
possibly most from other causes? i think a city of 10m people would typically have like 10k deaths per month from all causes.
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Replying to @justjoshinyou13 @eigenrobot
not hard to estimate that for 11 million people and previous stat of 7,44 dead per 1000 inhabitans in Wuhan this if true and over two and a half months means at least half are not due to other causes (not that far tho, close to 40% other causes)
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Replying to @SilverVVulpes @justjoshinyou13
really hard to say overall NYC deaths are actually down YoY apparently big effect from staying indoors?
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Replying to @eigenrobot @justjoshinyou13
this is so obvious to me I feel I must be missing something for your to say it but NYC has barely started obviously????
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Replying to @SilverVVulpes @justjoshinyou13
yeah I'm just saying that if you're trying to estimate c*v*d deaths from changes in total deaths you also probably need to account for the way that lockdown measures might be affecting non-plague death trends
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Replying to @eigenrobot @justjoshinyou13
right but while I now understand better what you mean you have no reason to assume it's in the direction of less overall non-corona death.if hospitals are so full they have to build new ones in a few days that also get full you might get less help for other lifethreatening issues
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Replying to @SilverVVulpes @justjoshinyou13
sure! I'm not sure what you're objecting to
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Replying to @eigenrobot @justjoshinyou13
not objecting I was just trying to help clarify
@justjoshinyou13 that these numbers if true (the source is like some radio) prob mostly represent corona death, that there's uncertainty due to non-independence and tha tit goes both ways1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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