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eigenrobot's profile
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@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
Joined July 2013

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    eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 29 Mar 2020

    eigenrobot Retweeted David Manheim

    I'd expected worse outcomes in Africa and India than Europe and US Guess there's still time Hadn't expected (d( or eff dee ehh to botch the response like this Not sure if I'd announced these but internally they were big errorshttps://twitter.com/davidmanheim/status/1244283555276079105 …

    eigenrobot added,

    David Manheim @davidmanheim
    New game: find just a couple things you personally didn't predict correctly about COVID-19, and announce it to the world. But don't celebrate failure, celebrate learning something - it's good to find out you're wrong and change your mind. Otherwise you can't ever do better. https://twitter.com/EGoldish/status/1244282053845233670 …
    12:06 PM - 29 Mar 2020
    • 27 Likes
    • Roland THTG Zagig Yragerne vector (wagmi) roon (🔄, 🔄) Kevin Simler Pumpkin-Spice Adjunction Dedicating Ruckus
    8 replies 0 retweets 27 likes
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @infinitesets_

        "WHO COULD HAVE KNOWN"

        0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. End of conversation
      1. Prince-philosopher Coinaday  🤴 🧐‏ @coinaday1 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Various factors to that. Possibly climate helping. Possibly issue is there but less attention on it. With China as an example, seems like it's relatively easy to conceal what's going on locally given how much noise there is globally.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Jacques-Larry David‏ @JeanLuc_Lemur 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Point 1: There’s a case parts of Africa might be more prepared for outbreak-type events because that’s what their health infra is geared towards Also surprised by point 2—I was constantly in H1N1 hotspots in Chicago with 0 effect on everyday life, even if I knew things were bad

        0 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. The American Caliban‏ @substitute 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        do they even have enough testing for us to know?

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @substitute

        nope! otoh if it were bad probably we'd see bodies on the other other hand maybe there just aren't so many old folks in those countries

        2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. David Manheim‏ @davidmanheim 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        David Manheim Retweeted Jacques-Larry David

        I'm unclear if Africa ends up being OK. It's still getting a foothold there, and it may still be very, very bad.https://twitter.com/JeanLuc_Lemur/status/1244342808783142913 …

        David Manheim added,

        Jacques-Larry David @JeanLuc_Lemur
        Replying to @eigenrobot
        Point 1: There’s a case parts of Africa might be more prepared for outbreak-type events because that’s what their health infra is geared towards Also surprised by point 2—I was constantly in H1N1 hotspots in Chicago with 0 effect on everyday life, even if I knew things were bad
        2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. Jacques-Larry David‏ @JeanLuc_Lemur 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @davidmanheim @eigenrobot

        Yeah especially with the virality and resilience of this thing

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Ideopunk‏ @Ideopunk 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Didn’t expect the closure cascade after Trump’s speech. Thought Seattle would be hit harder by now. Thought my area would be hit harder by now, but the province is only releasing regional numbers so who knows.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Jeremy Russell‏ @_JTRussell 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        If transmission cycle is 10 days, and the African and Indian climates lower R0 by 20%, then through 3 months we would see about 10x more cases in Europe (with identical starting conditions). Unfortunately going from R0 of 2 to 1.6 only reduces total infected from 50% to 37.5%

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Jeremy Russell‏ @_JTRussell 29 Mar 2020
        Replying to @_JTRussell @eigenrobot

        Basically the climate just flattens the curve.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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