Suppose that rumors about a national lockdown with Guard at state borders were true Suppose that this were being done not because the government were blindingly incompetent and/or just into implementing martial law at an opportune moment--I know I doubt it too but bear with me
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Execution would be something like this--yes I'm sure there are better ways this is spitballing (Also credit to
@selentelechia who gave the core of this as an offhand remark in the car) 1. Split regions aggressively and limit travel betweenShow this thread -
2. Test aggressively and perhaps randomly in each region on a regular basis to establish prevalence of the disease 3. When some (good) threshold hit, reduce level of mandatory quarantining 4. Open borders between states attaining low prevalence thresholds
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Idea would be to segment off regions with raging epidemics while minimizing economic impact elsewhere conditional on not bringing back high levels of transmission I suspect this is sort of happening at the country level already, de facto
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The economic damage the status quo is inflicting is not sustainable and I am hoping the main aim would be to buy time until material means that reduce transmission are being produced at levels that make general returns to work less costly in terms of health
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but also if they do this they're gonna fuck it up. Anyway enjoy your weekends!!!
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End of conversation
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the most obvious effect would be conditioning, but beyond that is hard to say
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