I was thinking about how all the most politically intelligent Twitter people are shitposters And then I remembered Phil Tetlock's fox vs. hedgehog thing Hypothesis: Shitposting is the foxiest Twitter style
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In Tetlock's book he mentions -- extremely briefly -- that an ironic and detached view of life is one characteristic of a great forecaster I was like TELL ME MORE!!!! but he didn't revisit the subject in that volume
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