[My (non-expert) understanding of the game.] While waiting for a vaccine, we must, 1. Keep infections low enough so as to not overwhelm health care capacity; while, 2. Preventing the economy from collapsing, which is, uh, often a violent process.pic.twitter.com/V2j0xck413
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Replying to @eigenrobot
Trying to imagine a more intractable socio-political problem for the US right now. I can’t though.
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Replying to @generativist @eigenrobot
I mean, what if this *and* hostile extraterrestrial first-contact. It can always get intractabler.
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Replying to @Esquiring @eigenrobot
Yea. I guess that’s next, right? Damn I wish I could wake up from this coma. I’m probably missing all the Jetpacks.
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Replying to @generativist @Esquiring
my moneys on forest fires --> ca blackouts or perhaps The Big One
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Replying to @eigenrobot @Esquiring
My maximum damage bet is on a bigger than Carrington flare event. It would be like society solvent.
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I was going to go with New Madrid event but yours is worse. Comms & power down, yikes. It’s trivial to come up with no-win scenarios like major Yellowstone event, trying to come up with the worst “we COULD make it through, but it’d be bloody tricky hard,” is bloody tricky hard.
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Replying to @WhippleMarc @generativist and
I'm skeptical economy is at risk. After a few years of +GDP, one year of negative growth is not the end of the world. Between innovations in distributed work, recovering wastes from "inefficiencies", economic rent & war, borrowing from future, risks of collapse seem overstated.
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there are a ton of knock-on effects and honestly plenty of vectors for positive feedback loops growth papers over a lot of dysfunction :/ example: most states are basically insolvent via pension underfunding and if they collapse that would be Bad
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