geopolitical stuff to watch for if things continue 1. state stability in authoritarian countries 2. democratic control in non-authoritarian countries 3. long-term border hardening 4. autarky gets a day in the sun
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maybe real easy to postpone elections for public health reasons or because Crisis expect we get to see how deep democratic roots go in some places
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plausibly see a shift away from two income households if schools are more often closed or unreliable, and/or if UBI or similar gets implemented
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international travel is probably toast for the near future more wfh arrangements or at least flexibility revitalization of state bureaucracy in US, or great devolution to the states, or both US universities hosed w/o international students, big changes coming there
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EU maybe cracking up, Schengen seems tenuous Bad news for refugees/migrants/immigration Nationalism has a new raison detre US maybe steps further back from hegemony, v long term consequences there
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sense of peril --> farmer memeplex makes wins vs forager memeplex quite generally greater central economic planning as stubborn residual from likely recession acceleration of biotech, maybe esp in US greater social monitoring everywhere
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Replying to @eigenrobot
hmm i like farmer vs forager memeplexes, is this a reference to anything in particular?
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Yeah! Lots of old @robinhanson posts, 2009ish maybe?
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