hmmm been thinking how many governments are going to fall because of this, relative the the no-coronavirus counterfactual?
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it doesnt seem like collapses are inevitable! consider: governments did not generally collapse directly because of plague in historical settings where plagues were far worse. Athens, Byzantium, Antonines, most of medieval Europe in the 14th century
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consider: possibility that plague is the health of the state per
@St_Rev plague prevention is basically the most persuasive argument for existence of /some/ state function in a modern world on the other hand . . .2 replies 1 retweet 21 likesShow this thread -
in the past, maybe people didnt really expect the state to prevent disease, and now it's a core function? if so, maybe a serious outbreak is more delegitimizing than it would have been in the pre-War era
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also consider: - a decimated population is far less likely to be in physical condition to revolt - politicians are disproportionately old and also sociable and inclined to travel. May melt many hierarchies - coincidence of a likely global recession (do these cause revolution?)
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