hmmm been thinking how many governments are going to fall because of this, relative the the no-coronavirus counterfactual?
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also consider: - a decimated population is far less likely to be in physical condition to revolt - politicians are disproportionately old and also sociable and inclined to travel. May melt many hierarchies - coincidence of a likely global recession (do these cause revolution?)
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Sanctions will have the intended effect in Iran
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In the past, legitimacy was checked by the incidence of natural disasters and plagues God flagellating his chosen people etc
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States saying 'stay home if you feel sick' but incubation can range from 0 to 27 days, average 5-10 days. They should also say that healthy people should stay home if they can?
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the primitive city/state is also what first provided the population density necessary for certain infections to spread—so, this reasoning seems fitting, as they've been inseparable in some ways from the beginning
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Just spitballing, but I think the increase in urbanization/interconnectivity via air travel may make certain areas more vulnerable than in the past
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I continue to be pretty concerned about the possibility of government collapse: could our key infrastructural institutions function with 40% infection rates among healthcare workers, police, military, government officials? A lot of smart people have been flinching away from this.
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