the main thing you should take from this thread is not whatever object level conclusion he suggests by the end (havent read that far) but rather the meta lesson that if faced with a question requiring sensitive longitudinal macro data to answer correctly you should simply give uphttps://twitter.com/oren_cass/status/1230505649794166785 …
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robot wins again
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You can always add another layer of misdirection.
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I should have never bet against the bot
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everything is linear if you plot it log-log with a fat Sharpie
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"sharpie" i will never abandon crayola
End of conversation
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That thread is important to show how inflation numbers are gamed, though, because some people think their financial future is safe if they have a pension or investment which goes up with an inflation index.
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