tbh climate change denialism has the opposite problem of a lot of this-- the explanations for why this isn't what the science fears it is are often very sophisticated and the basic climate change explanation is very simple.
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Replying to @PropterMalone @eigenrobot
it's the cliffs where you start looking at feedback effects where the models get complicated
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Replying to @eigenrobot
but like, you don't really need to understand the cliffs to understand the problem, and also our best current understanding of the cliffs is very likely wrong to a greater or lesser extent
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Replying to @PropterMalone @eigenrobot
if you have accepted the basic proposition "more carbon dioxide in the air makes the world warmer" you get the core of it and the rest isn't really necessary to understand the problem.
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Replying to @PropterMalone
But it's necessary to argue about the magnitude What fraction of the enormous numbers is based on second-order effects rather than primary?
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Replying to @eigenrobot
i mean is it? i guess you need the second proposition "if we keep going like this, that's too much"
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Replying to @PropterMalone
iirc effect is something like spectrophotometric, ie negative second derivative--maybe logarithmic can't get to runaway heating with CO2 level alone
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Replying to @eigenrobot @Coyoteblog
but you don't need to understand that to come to the correct conclusion that global warming is a threat or to come to basically the correct conclusions about what we should be doing about it re: emissions
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the folk version is good enough
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The folk version is people chaining themselves to trains and yelling that life on Earth is going to end
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