professional observation that silvers mostly done good work, he had a better model in 2016 than anyone else and it put out a reasonable prediction, and guys like this are clowning themselveshttps://twitter.com/RadishHarmers/status/1188893775034236929 …
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Replying to @Aelkus
what did he say im blocked also worth noting I have no respect for taleb
2 replies 0 retweets 11 likes -
Replying to @eigenrobot @Aelkus
He says Silver's forecast is too volatile, and used an options pricing model to perform a sort of replication supposedly demonstrating this. I read the paper though and wasn't terribly convinced that his result would hold up under a more detailed and accurate model.
2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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