dont much care for the hate for silver from knuckledraggers and i really dont like that it would easily transfer to me
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oh in fairness this was dumb I forgot about thishttps://twitter.com/interpretantion/status/1189016346417422336?s=19 …
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idk no idea
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what did he say im blocked also worth noting I have no respect for taleb
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His prediction as of the day of the election was completely on target. On the other hand he wrote this really stupid article in the beginning of the election called Donald Trump's six stages of doom which treated the probability of every one of these six stages as independent
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i dunno, this seems pretty accurate [checks notes] ohhhh wait this says threats TO trump, not threats FROM trumppic.twitter.com/wkLFQPBmMf
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Silver's objective, polls-based Monte Carlo simulations of general elections were and remain the gold standard. Everything else he does that is politics related- his idiotic fixation on "party decides/endorsement primary", his pontificating and punditry, his podcasts- are trash.
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To torture an analogy slightly, he's like a market commentator who, upon realizing that the data that matters only needs updating once per quarter, spends 90% of his time tweeting about the Chilean PMIs and 1% moves in the Dow Transports instead of just doing nothing.
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