I guess I see this playing out, if we did it right, as divestment as quickly as we could reasonably manage, then diplomatic isolation of China as well as could be managed until they collapse internally. Basically, the Soviet model. Could take a while.https://twitter.com/PRiMEALiAS/status/1183394574288510977 …
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I don't see any kind of external imposition of liberalization of China. It's just a matter of containment.
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Replying to @eigenrobot
agreed we cannot win a land war in China. TPP along with formal diplomatic pressure was a solid plan for a measured form of containment. Sadly the Trump trade war has precluded such options in the future. Any containment plan has to deal with shipping lanes...1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @Orwelian84 @eigenrobot
...and I just can't wrap my head around how we do that without shooting.
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Replying to @Orwelian84
China seems to be at a real disadvantage there, for now
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Replying to @eigenrobot
Yes and no. I think they weren't ready to full court press just yet. The Belt & Road plus MIC 2025 were key then being able to control enough of the global market to be assured of success at what they are trying now Trump + HK accelerated the process. But I'm totally spitballing.
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