its true though 2.5M gets you like a nice house but nothing special in a major city youre not gonna retire at 20 with that net worth especially at current interest rates and especially if you want to have kidshttps://twitter.com/MozarabMohan/status/1182051885047521280 …
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not guaranteed, but * diversify * try to avoid any withdrawls for the first few years * withdraw no more than 4% of principle each year People have been playing with Monte Carlo models to generate ways to solve EXACTLY this problem since forever (well, at least for decades)
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Monte Carlo models are great if you know from which distribution the future returns will be drawn. You don't.
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interest rates aren't necessarily set purely by market forces e.g. a lot of money is legally obligated to be in bonds and not in stocks, thus depressing bond rates
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