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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
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    eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 4 Jun 2019

    I once TA'd an econometrics class for a fairly famous econometrician He pointed out to the students at one point that all of the studies linking cigarettes and cancer were correlational and just let it hang there for twenty seconds of uncomfortable silence before moving on

    8:07 PM - 4 Jun 2019
    • 20 Retweets
    • 152 Likes
    • Commodore-Criminal Ramon Cruz Costa etiquiet vig the magnificent Keikakushigoto kathrynalexis Timothy Nguyen ℓσσηєу тυηє тнємє (xıɯǝɹ dɐɹʇ) Teodor Zhechev
    10 replies 20 retweets 152 likes
      1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 4 Jun 2019

        He wasn't trying to make any obvious claim, and he didn't give any clue to what he meant to imply The effect was just to instill in students barely capable of running OLS in Stata, much less interpreting it, a sense of deep epistemic Dread I respect that and I hope it stuck

        9 replies 13 retweets 170 likes
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      2. Alex Godofsky‏ @AlexGodofsky 4 Jun 2019
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Fisher was (in)famously opposed to the conclusion that they were related, for this reason. (Also maybe because he was paid by tobacco companies.)

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. Alex Godofsky‏ @AlexGodofsky 4 Jun 2019
        Replying to @AlexGodofsky @eigenrobot

        The real lesson is that huge effect sizes matter and tell you that *something* is going on.

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Deeply Credentialed Yuga‏ @MelancholyYuga 4 Jun 2019
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Fisher made the same point, noting that cancers often cause diffuse discomfort long before diagnosis that smoking could plausibly palliate.

        2 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
      3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 4 Jun 2019
        Replying to @MelancholyYuga

        oh man Huuuuuuuh

        1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Liminal Warmth  ❤ ( 📜, 📜)‏ @liminal_warmth 4 Jun 2019
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        I choose to believe that this validates my bad habit

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. crepuscular dispatch‏ @schakalsynthetc 4 Jun 2019
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        worse, the only plausible causal explanation I'm aware of was afaik never fully investigated bc if true it implies harm-reduction changes to the cig manufacturing process effective enough that the campaign to "eliminate" smoking for public health reasons isn't strictly necessary

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      2. Kizunaut‏ @KizunautFI 4 Jun 2019
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Did he smoke?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 5 Jun 2019
        Replying to @KizunautFI

        I don't believe so he was super straightlaced

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. Rob MacLachlan‏ @robamacl 5 Jun 2019
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Judea Pearl is one of the main developers and advocates of causal inference. He has a chapter on smoking in his excellent popular book. He is convincing.pic.twitter.com/3cVLcValOz

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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