thread ends with "but you want to believe true things, right?" but i think this is burdensome and intractable and youre better off not believing things for the most part divest yourself of the need to Believehttps://twitter.com/KelseyTuoc/status/1135955548174610433 …
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I would rather reduce the variance overall while being acceptably wrong than be very correct in any one particular instance or set of instances with a wide variance
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too bad we dont have any labeled data!
End of conversation
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