just read a thread of people talking Intelligently about a topic I used to get paid to research and man do i sound like that when i talk about almost everything
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Replying to @eigenrobot
Have you ever read Daniel Ellsberg’s bit about Kissinger and Top Secret security clearance? TLDR having opinions on anything without knowing secret info is a total laugh
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Replying to @visakanv @eigenrobot
But intelligence folks w access to classified info are not better (and often worse) than lay people at predicting events.
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Replying to @visakanv @foxyforecaster
as someone with no special information about prediction outcomes i doubt it
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Replying to @foxyforecaster @visakanv
dang maybe expertise in a subject helps after all
2:10 PM - 23 Mar 2019
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