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eigenrobot's profile
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
Joined July 2013

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    1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 7 Mar 2019

      eigenrobot Retweeted Nicholas H Wolfinger

      "curious whats going on here hmmm"https://twitter.com/NickWolfinger/status/1103403311577718784 …

      eigenrobot added,

      Nicholas H Wolfinger @NickWolfinger
      People on Twitter often suggest to me that IQ is the magic variable that explains all social science. In a short blog post I did some data analysis to show that the explanatory power of innate intelligence is quite limited. http://www.nicholaswolfinger.com/blog/2019/03/06/no-iq-isnt-the-magic-variable-that-explains-everything/ …
      1 reply 2 retweets 22 likes
      Show this thread
    2. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 7 Mar 2019

      ah. Well Thenpic.twitter.com/GS0YbMmFEU

      7 replies 0 retweets 37 likes
      Show this thread
    3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 7 Mar 2019

      new belief all effect sizes are zero except in cases where the reseacher desperately wants them to be zero in which case they are Quite Large

      1 reply 2 retweets 58 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Nicholas H Wolfinger‏ @NickWolfinger 7 Mar 2019
      Replying to @eigenrobot

      Naw, don't want or expect them to be zero. IQ has some predictive power, but just not all of it.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    5. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 7 Mar 2019
      Replying to @NickWolfinger

      I'm sorry to be publicly ragging on your analysis but it really doesn't show what you want it to show :/

      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
    6. Nicholas H Wolfinger‏ @NickWolfinger 7 Mar 2019
      Replying to @eigenrobot

      No no, rag away. That's what it's there for. Again, I'm not blind to the endogeneity in my kitchen sink model, so just consider the 0 order analysis. The correlation is respectable, but not predominant.

      0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    7. This Tweet is unavailable.
      eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 7 Mar 2019

      so--it's pretty tricky trying to isolate the effect of whatever AFQT proxies for, unless you have a strong theoretical model you might SORT of take it as exogenous given the heritability of IQ (that increases with age!) but pretty plausibly lots of childhood effects . . .

      6:27 PM - 7 Mar 2019
      • 1 Like
      • Phénotype détendu
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 7 Mar 2019
          Replying to @eigenrobot @NickWolfinger

          might spring into play eg, your parents are probably high IQ if you are, they are plausibly more likely to be able to provide more opportunities for your childhood environment, etc all of this as a preface to saying: you could (with this data set) come up with . . .

          2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 7 Mar 2019
          Replying to @eigenrobot @NickWolfinger

          a sort-of upper bound on AFQT explanatory power for future earnings by (say) looking at age 18 AFQT (did they give it at 18? at whatever year) and and doing a univariate(ish) nonparametric estimation of (income at 40 | AFQT at 18) say, throw these into a RF and pull the R^2

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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