no. it's good actually. an opinion should be strong so you can act with the strength of conviction. it should be weakly held so you can update it or discard when new evidence becomes available.
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I suspect conviction is Extremely Misplaced a good ninety percent of the time possibly better to act in spite of an absence of conviction?
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but who can do such a thing? conviction is easily misplaced and this constitutes a form of infohazard that we should be vigilant against (thus the weakly held clause), but it is useful for inoculating against apathy and complacency.
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"I'm probably wrong but this is the best guess I have right now and I've gotta do something SO---" compare: Box's aphorism about models
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the strong opinion there is "I'm probably wrong" rather than "this is the best guess I have right now" which means your action is guided towards refining the model rather than acting with confidence in the model
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hmm compare also eisenhower on plans and planning?
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e.g. "plans don't survive first contact with the enemy"? and "but its better to have one than not"? that seems right to me and is a great example of strong opinions held loosely
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are we just split on the definition of "strong" here?
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hmmm yeah I would prefer strong ideas weakly held to strong ideas strongly held for sure just might go a step further and reduce the strength of those ideas in the first place
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do ur ideas even lift bro
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*and* separate
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what does this mean exactly
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well i think what it boils down to is,https://twitter.com/eigenrobot/status/967114911401652225 …
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what makes this "weakly-held" I guess is my question
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"I will readily update my belief in light of new evidence" I think
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What about NO opinions, strongly held? Y'all can't convince me that anything is important. *crosses arms*
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unironically!
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