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M. Eric DeFazio
@edefazio
Christian garbage man
Virginia, USAJoined July 2010

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...worried he'd be taken out (& also having a case of Hemophobia) dad reached down & grabbed a handful of mud & packed it into the nostril to stop the bleeding (don't make em like they used to)
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originally dad didn't get many opportunities to play (since he was an underclassmen & small) freshman year on a muddy practice field dad got popped good when running as a lead blocker instantly nose started gushing blood...
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My Dad (Mike DeFazio #44) Halfback & co-captain of Xavier College Football 1964 (before game with Miami of Ohio) Dad was about 5'9 170lbs but got a full scholarship to play College Football at Xavier as running back
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in summary we already experienced something similar to AI replacing developers...outsourcing initially it showed promise & cost savings by "freeing up developers" ...but the communication/management overhead turned out to be much larger than expected & failed in long term
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then, the largest sin is you have to maintain/adapt the software noone wrote. and I don't think ChatGPT can modify software very well because articulating the changes requires intimately understanding what the existing software does.
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anecdote: it will take me more time trying to articulate (to an outsourced team of humans) what I want the software to do than it will to actually write the software (much less testing, verification, etc.) i.e. the communication/collaboration becomes the limiting factor
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owners were family (husband/wife/2 kids) one kid said "Fluffy just always wants to play" (a huge burden for them, as the "cute phase" had expired) Husband was pissed because 7month old puppy "had mind of a 3month old" wish people would realize dog is not a toy esp. not Akita
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yesterday got approached by a beautiful 80lb Akita puppy loose in my 'hood got "Fluffy" on leash, dog was very calm owners drove up & dog went from calm to tense Fluffy did NOT want to go with back to them got loose again & had to chase / corral him with food
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by abdicating all personal responsibility everything is a systemic problem and you have to live in a box to be easily managed
this is an example of "model myopia trap" people built models asking: "who wins in a war between Russia & Ukraine?" looked at past & present quantitative statistics ignoring the broader ecosystem (REAL war doesn't take place in a vacuum or RISK board) twitter.com/edefazio/statu
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Looking back on 2022, it's impossible to overlook the consensus of experts that expected Russia's quantitative superiority in tanks, aircraft and personnel to be decisive in its invasion of Ukraine. /8
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firmly believe that if you cannot map what you do (on a day to day basis) to the company balance sheet in a competitive market environment you are toast (TBH government or captured/monopoly market BS job employees gonna be safe, but what's the point if no live players?)
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strong disagree in a long enough time horizon the patronage/social structure changes (people move up, switch departments, quit, retire, companies get acquired) & in an economic downturn (barrowing money is hard) competition/market factors are back in play BS jobs vulnerable
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Replying to @_nymx_ and @benlandautaylor
Bullshit jobs can't be removed with technological advances in automating them, since they were generated by political or social needs: The personnel cost is a feature not a bug, it's what allows the patronage structure to work.
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Maybe part of the reason societies are chaotic now is because too few people have the goal of living a peaceful, quiet life. This used to be the goal of the majority. Now people want recognition, fame, hustle, drama. May have to learn the hard way why a quiet life is a treasure.
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