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"Long term investors' focus on sustainability is a value-driven imperative, not a values-driven agenda", says CEO of State Streethttps://www.wsj.com/articles/sustainability-is-part-of-good-risk-assessment-11580413295 …
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"No one knows everything, because there is no everything to know". Clifford Geertz
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Sensible piece on some glaring blind spots of management consulting, by
@p_millerdhttps://think-boundless.com/dark-side-strategy-consulting/ …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
(coming up next week: I *really* need to write a blog post how I critically read non-fiction books using my critical lens of philosophy of science and my way of testing the book's central hypothesis. stay tuned). 6 <end>
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Insofar as a leadership book gives great advice, action-research style, I think it is legitimate to try things out as a hypothesis. But very often the claims "leaders who do these 5 things succeed" are implying causality where there is none. 5
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Good books to get that type of thinking:
@PTetlock's Superforecasting.@lmlodinow's Drunkard's Walk. Taleb's Fooled by Randomness and Black Swan. 4Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
On success of forecasters, for instance, Tetlock has done a great job at eliminating mere noise and chance that act as confounding variables. Taleb (insufferable as he is) explained clearly how we see causes of success where there is mere chance. 3
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Great books on success of leaders take into account not just success stories, but crucially failure stories too, in a non-naive way that accounts for confounding variables and the inevitable role of chance on success. 2
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A ton of leadership magazines articles (in spite of some good stuff published) largely ignore the role randomness on leaders' success. Naive inductivism, magical thinking, and assumed-causality-where-there-is-none are still pervasive.
#FooledByRandomness 1Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
It's not "data is", but "data are". On how data are contingent and need to be read contextually. Useful towards a participatory theory of knowing and doing in complex systemspic.twitter.com/S9oZq1IdFj
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Just made a contribution to The Guardian to help them keep going on their coverage of climate change, and to support them after they are publicly refusing any ad money from fossil fuel companies
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Santa Fe institute has a good video on Feigenbaum's constant as wellhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L9dLBGgVeig …
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The route to (deterministic) chaos, Feigenbaum's constant, and the universality of chaos, explained by
@veritasium in this videohttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ovJcsL7vyrk …Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Refusing money from fossils is the right thing to do, whilst it includes a financial risk. This is what put so much pressure on South African companies and government who backed the Apartheid regime
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Sincere congratulations to you,
@guardian for refusing to take money from fossil firms. It is a risk because it hurts your business in the short term https://www.theguardian.com/media/2020/jan/29/guardian-to-ban-advertising-from-fossil-fuel-firms-climate-crisis … (Tomorrow I will make a donation and I invite you strongly to do the same)Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
It is actually invigorating for me to scout around and see so much good work done by others. It puts me in a mindset of humility, curiosity to learn, and reminds me that I don't have to do it all by myself (which is illogical and impossible)
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Add to the list of cognitive biases the following: "But I was not involved". It cannot be good work / a good theory because *I was not part of it*. Perhaps it is indeed a great idea, but a quick way to dismiss it is to think I was not involved = it's bad
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Marco Valente proslijedio/la je Tweet
I'm so excited that our piece on
#Mindtraps and#adultdevelopment came out today! Hoping this will help us all be a little better at#leadingincomplexity and also a little kinder to ourselves and one another. http://bit.ly/36xzRPl via@McKQuarterlyHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
"How do make sure we have a sufficiently diversified set of experiments, testing at times competing hypotheses concurrently as well as how articulated experiments can build on each other?" Good piecehttps://medium.com/@undp.ric/the-system-shift-frames-energies-and-experiments-f0ada9791efd …
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A summary of the talks in Davos, with trillions of reasons to care about climate change https://www.ft.com/content/e9a24e2e-3c79-11ea-b232-000f4477fbca … (the billionaires may have not been swayed by Greta's good work, but they are afraid of existential risks to their companies) via
@Tweedwin73Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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