Election 2016; Super Bowl 2017. Probability models are not like poll percentages. Probability models are not like poll percentages. Probabi—
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Replying to @zeynep
zeynep tufekci Retweeted Ben Alamar
May have a place on many gravestones, maybe one for the planet. Probability models are not like poll percentages.https://twitter.com/BenAlamarESPN/status/828440020679798785 …
zeynep tufekci added,
4 replies 35 retweets 74 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
Maybe the only five minute window this has a chance: Folks, either ban probability models or make statistics mandatory every year in K-12.
6 replies 99 retweets 211 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
zeynep tufekci Retweeted The Wall Street Journal
This kind of bad communication (plus lack of clarity on correlated errors) is how people got misled in the election.https://twitter.com/WSJ/status/828419447698366465 …
zeynep tufekci added,
5 replies 34 retweets 75 likes
Not just bad communication, but bad science/math, failure to allow for "black swans," etc.
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