Evan Urquhart

There's no support for the belief that this is a large percentage in any of the data. It's a matter of faith for you, but people who judge based on evidence can't go there with you.

There’s no data that supports your assertion that this is a sufficient data set!! Why can’t we want more than this?

You can want it- I want better numbers too. But the numbers are very, very unlikely to show more than 1-3% of people who transition detransition. So you should moderate your expectations.

Why are you so sure that research done on this very tiny group is comprehensive? We know there’s so many gaps in trans healthcare knowledge, whether you think I’m too set on these numbers being wrong, why are you so set on these numbers being RIGHT?

I don't think it's comprehensive. I think the fact that all results have been grouped towards the lower percentages strongly suggests that the true answer is somewhere in the lower percentages.

I estimate detrans rates on the high end, bc I take critiques seriously. But there's a difference btw thinking a study missed half the actual detransitioners in their sample (they found 0.4% but the real number is 0.8%) and thinking they're all undercounting by 50x or more.

This wave of AFAB transitions that happened in the past decade has not been studied, the detransition information we have is largely from an older generation’s (mostly AMAB) transitions, I think that the numbers are going to be vastly different with this newer group

When there's evidence of that I will gladly take it seriously. Until then, I have no reason to believe in it.