If most studies find less than 1%, while some find a bit higher but always well under 10%, the likelihood is that the real number is 10% or more is vanishingly low. Even truly terrible research methods would have a hard time missing by that wide a margin, time after time.
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The one other move in the detransition conversation is to posit that detransition rates are low NOW, but they're going to explode some time in the future. Well. Isn't that convenient?
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I started paying close attention to these discussions about 6-7 yrs ago, pre transition myself, and I'm still waiting for the evidence of an explosion in AFAB regret rates. When the evidence arrives, and not one moment before, my opinion will change.
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This will be a thread for another day, but one thing I think is so important for the conversation about desistence and detransition is to normalize all the adolescent identity discovery and exploration that doesn't end in medical transitioning.
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If young person (hs or college age) tries out a new style, asks to be called by a new name, or uses a pronoun for a while, and then does something else that's... normative development. It shouldn't be in the desist/detrans discussion at all.
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Obviously we are talking about a fraction of a tiny community but from what I’ve seen, I believe many of these studies don’t follow up with or include participants who don’t continue or return to the clinic
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Agreed in at least many cases- and so then the question is do you read anything into that or not? As a trans person in the US, I've left multiple clinics bc I moved far away. I know in the UK a lot leave to go private bc wait lists are so long... 1/2
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