They counted and you didn't like the numbers. I'm all for them counting again, more carefully, but I expect you not to like the numbers then, either. You'll tell me there's a real, hidden number out there somewhere. Because you'll only believe a result that agrees with you.
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Replying to @e_urq @SchuylerTaylor4 and
They didn’t count me. Show me the proof behind number you’re so positive is accurate.
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Replying to @saturnalea @SchuylerTaylor4 and
You don't seem to understand how research works. They count a sample, and find a rate. There's something called "error" which means the extent to which you can be confident the rate generalizes to the fully population.
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Replying to @e_urq @saturnalea and
There have been numerous studies of trans care that showed a less than 1% regret/detransition rate, centered around AMABs who returned to the closet due to stigma. A few have shown something a bit higher, 1-5% or so.
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Replying to @e_urq @saturnalea and
While these are each, individually, imperfect studies, taken together it's unreasonable to expect a new study will find huge uncounted numbers of detransitioners.
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Replying to @e_urq @saturnalea and
There's no support for the belief that this is a large percentage in any of the data. It's a matter of faith for you, but people who judge based on evidence can't go there with you.
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Replying to @e_urq @SchuylerTaylor4 and
There’s no data that supports your assertion that this is a sufficient data set!! Why can’t we want more than this?
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Replying to @saturnalea @SchuylerTaylor4 and
You can want it- I want better numbers too. But the numbers are very, very unlikely to show more than 1-3% of people who transition detransition. So you should moderate your expectations.
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Replying to @e_urq @SchuylerTaylor4 and
Why are you so sure that research done on this very tiny group is comprehensive? We know there’s so many gaps in trans healthcare knowledge, whether you think I’m too set on these numbers being wrong, why are you so set on these numbers being RIGHT?
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Replying to @saturnalea @SchuylerTaylor4 and
I don't think it's comprehensive. I think the fact that all results have been grouped towards the lower percentages strongly suggests that the true answer is somewhere in the lower percentages.
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I estimate detrans rates on the high end, bc I take critiques seriously. But there's a difference btw thinking a study missed half the actual detransitioners in their sample (they found 0.4% but the real number is 0.8%) and thinking they're all undercounting by 50x or more.
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