Evan Urquhart

Retransition is even less well studied than detransition, so we're in extra dicey territory trying to estimate the rate at which people who detransition go on to retransition at a later point. HOWEVER... 7/ #DetransAwarenessDay

...there are some useful numbers that can give us a framework for thinking about how common retransition is, and spoiler alert, it's almost certainly extremely common. 8/ #DetransAwarenessDay

In the same UK research I linked to above, they found 16 people who had regrets and/or had detransitioned. Of those, 10 had only detransitioned temporarily. 10 of 16 retransitioned. 9/ again: https://mermaidsuk.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/charing-Cross-study-nhs.pdf … #DetransAwarenessDay

When you look at the sparse numbers around retransition, you generally find >50%. Now, as I said above, I prefer conservative estimates. I think 50% is a reasonable back-of-the-envelope guess as to how many who detransition stay detransitioned. 10/ #DetransAwarenessDay

I wouldn't bet my life on 50%. Permanent detransition could be being under counted in myriad ways, or (this is more supported by the evidence) retransition rates could be much higher. But 50% is reasonable, for a conservative estimate. 11/ #DetransAwarenessDay

Next, we'll talk about the facts about who the data says detransitions more frequently, trans men or trans women? 12/ #DetransAwarenessDay

According to the 2015 US Transgender Survey: "Trans women were more likely to report having detransitioned (11%), in contrast to trans men (4%)." (Don't be confused by high percents, only 0.4% had permanently detransitioned.) https://transequality.org/sites/default/files/docs/usts/USTS-Full-Report-Dec17.pdf … 13/ #DetransAwarenessDay

Other sources show the same pattern. Detransition is far more common among trans women, and the reason they give for detransitioning is prejudice/social stigma. 14/ #DeTransAwareness