Evan Urquhart

OK gang! Let's raise some awareness about the FACTS around detransition! 1/ #DetransAwarenessDay

When I write about detransition, I like to use an estimated rate of between 1 and 3 percent of people who transition. But here's a secret, between you and me: The numbers don't reeeeeally support that. They support a rate of >1%. 2/ #DetransAwarenessDay

The overall research on detransition is still quite weak, and I want to give as generous a reading as possible to the criticsms. So, when I say 1-3%, I'm overweighting studies that show a higher rate, out of caution. 3/ #DetransAwarenessDay

This means I have to do quite a lot of cherry picking, to support my higher, more conservative estimate. Most studies give numbers more like this one, which found 0.4% regret: https://mermaidsuk.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/charing-Cross-study-nhs.pdf … Most studies support a <1% rate of detransition. 4/ #DetransAwarenessDay

That study is only 2016-7, so cannot be used to judge what long term detransition rates are. They even note it in the study as a limitation that it is only a "snapshot".

Every study can be criticized. A rational person will base one's opinions on the evidence we do have- always willing to update that opinion in the light of new evidence.

Given there hasn't been an equivalent increase between both sexes, it would suggest it is not due to social acceptance of an underlying condition, but rather something due to social reasons.