Evan Urquhart

OK gang! Let's raise some awareness about the FACTS around detransition! 1/ #DetransAwarenessDay

When I write about detransition, I like to use an estimated rate of between 1 and 3 percent of people who transition. But here's a secret, between you and me: The numbers don't reeeeeally support that. They support a rate of >1%. 2/ #DetransAwarenessDay

The overall research on detransition is still quite weak, and I want to give as generous a reading as possible to the criticsms. So, when I say 1-3%, I'm overweighting studies that show a higher rate, out of caution. 3/ #DetransAwarenessDay

This means I have to do quite a lot of cherry picking, to support my higher, more conservative estimate. Most studies give numbers more like this one, which found 0.4% regret: https://mermaidsuk.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/charing-Cross-study-nhs.pdf … Most studies support a <1% rate of detransition. 4/ #DetransAwarenessDay

That study is only 2016-7, so cannot be used to judge what long term detransition rates are. They even note it in the study as a limitation that it is only a "snapshot".

Every study can be criticized. A rational person will base one's opinions on the evidence we do have- always willing to update that opinion in the light of new evidence.