I've turned this over in my mind since yesterday, and I had a little more to add. Why were Rowling's comments to the effect that she might have transitioned if she was born 30 years later ignored? There are benign and less benign potential reasons.https://twitter.com/KEBrightbill/status/1341481425426546689 …
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But, there are other possibilities, People might feel embarrassed on Rowling's behalf. She said this weird thing- that she might be... TRANS? The horror. They shy away because it makes them uncomfortable, because they see questioning one's gender as an embarrassing failure.
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And, of course, the least benign reason people might shy away from it is because they find it persuasive. They agree that bathroom panic is transphobia, but this idea that girls are easily led airheads who oopsy into male gender identities left and right sounds plausible.
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Since cis folks are avoiding talking about it, there's no way of knowing where that's coming from. Clearly transphobes think it's to their benefit to portray trans men as confused airheaded girls being girls. I hope the first reason is the most common, but it's hard to know.
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