Generally when there's a landslide (as in the UK tonight) everyone's hot takes are mostly right and when there's a close result everyone's hot takes are mostly wrong.
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Its different. In nates example tge margin itself is evidence where as in your example you simply cant rule them out, but theres no reason to believe any one of them were causal.
No, I think that’s wrong. In a close election, any single domino could have fallen differently and there’d have been a different result. In a landslide, you have to look for something bigger that explains why all the dominos fell at once. None of them are determinative alone.
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Any single domino *could* have had an effect but no immediate evidence that any did. For a landslide the prior needs to be that any single domino DID have an effect.
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