Like the majority of Americans, I have an immediate family member locked up behind bars. My dad is in prison & at the age of 75, he is high risk for the virus. If we forget about incarcerated people we’ll lose to the virus and we’ll lose ourselves.https://www.newyorker.com/news/our-local-correspondents/chesa-boudin-on-his-incarcerated-father-and-the-threat-of-the-coronavirus-in-prisons …
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When I had this conversation with the
@NewYorker a couple days ago, no one in my dad’s prison had tested positive. Now they have. Time is of the essence. This pandemic made it clearer than ever that mass incarceration must end. Public health & public safety depend on it.29 replies 86 retweets 348 likesShow this thread -
Majority of Americans currently or formerly have had immediate family members incarcerated.
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So, there are 707 per 100,000 in the system. Which means that there are 999,293 per 100,000 who aren't. How does this support Boudin's claim that a "majority" of us have family members in prison?
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US currently incarcerates 2.3MM (way too many, I agree), but there are ~129MM households in the US. For the majority of households to have at least 1 member incarcerated, we would need 65MM prisoners minimum. For
@chesaboudin to not be a liar, we better start imprisoning & fast.pic.twitter.com/5sAngFJXBD
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To be fair, no-one told Chesa that there would be math in the job.
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Replying to @dwbudd @EsmeAlaki and
Just so we’re clear, the “math” offered above, estimating that 65MM Americans would need to be incarcerated for Chesa’s stmt to be true, is wrong in every possible respect. Just dead wrong.
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The fact that incarceration and families represent cluster events and not random sampling means that Chesa’s claim is almost surely wrong. The 65 mm claim a too simplistic, but is probably closer to the truth than Chesa’s arithmetic.
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