Hi I'm very concerned about that headline as it really does hide the fact that going over 4°C within decades is still entirely possible, as the article itself indicates. What did you make of the latest models out of France (7°C by 2100) suggesting 2°C by 2040 is likely? Ben
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I find the next generation models as alarming as you do, I’d guess (I mention them in the piece.) Nevertheless, if RCP8.5 is not a median “business as usual” baseline but something like an 80th or 90th percentile worst case baseline, the whole range of possible outcomes shifts.
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Great piece. Per the ending, I still think climate change has and will continue to affect both the rich and the poor. Yes, the poor more. But the rich do not live on a parallel planet, even if some of our billionaires would like it to be so. Just my two cents. Great stuff!
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Oh absolutely, no one’s life will be untouched. But those in positions of relative privilege may nevertheless comfort themselves by focusing on that relative privilege... (Here’s hoping a more empathic, universalist response ultimately prevails...)
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@KHayhoe I have to see if you are already commenting... -
How much it warms does not depend only on energy use. It also depends on feedbacks which we are likely under-estimating. Such as methane emissions from the permafrost. Headlines like this only tell half the story.
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@dwallacewells the situation is much easier to understand than many experts would have us believe. This sums it up...https://twitter.com/fragmansixty9/status/1207731906713989123?s=20 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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And this explains accelerated thawing of Arctic permafrost, Greenland’s ice sheet melting at an accelerating pace, and the record breaking summer temperatures this year in Europe and Australia. It was only ten years ago that these events weren’t expected until after 2050.
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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2.3 Billion new people since 1989 seem to enjoy the current climate.pic.twitter.com/elRUIEAC41
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