Since I started following US politics in the 1990s, 1 simple heuristic has been the most reliable guide: the GOP, at every juncture or decision point, will do/say/be the worst possible thing. The bulk of analytical errors in punditry trace to ignoring or doubting that heuristic.https://twitter.com/ATVSPoseur/status/1223317762061340674 …
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One episode that illustrates my point: the GOP's famous post-2012-election "autopsy." It lamented an increasingly old, white party & recommended reaching out to minorities, women, & young people -- and, specifically, softening on immigration.https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2013/03/what-you-need-to-read-in-the-rnc-election-autopsy-report/274112/ …
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Those of us with an appropriately dismal view of the GOP looked at those recommendations & immediately concluded they were fanciful nonsense, that there was too much gathered momentum toward white identity politics for elites to be able to engineer a course correction.
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But it was *exactly* what VSPs & mainstream pundits wanted to hear, exactly the GOP they'd been imagining for so long, so they heralded it as a turning point. We know how that turned out: the dirty hippies were correct, the VSPs biffed it again, & no one learned anything.
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A Wisconsin law firm funded by right-wingers has represented plaintiffs in several anti-democratic lawsuits (e.g. the current one trying to purge 200,000 voters). Firm's founder just called criticism of the lawsuit "vile and disgusting hyperbole."
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There's nothing more gauche in US public life than trying to hold powerful people responsible for the consequences of their actions.
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of course the great example of that is Mann and Ornstein
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thrown out of the Punditry Club for speaking the obvious truth
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This is so reminiscent of Churchill in 1938/39 being mocked as an “extremist warmonger” despite having accurately predicted the aims and expansion of the Nazis since they’d first come to power.
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My stomach hurts
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see Krugman, Paul, et al.
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