A good string here with @MarkELindsay and @venkmurthy about the tone policing going on in social media surrounding #COVID19 issues. But also in science in general. https://twitter.com/MarkELindsay/status/1254983167632703494 …
We must remember all scientific papers have flaws. Pointing them out is not personal.
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The striking thing about
@COVID19 is how tribal the debate has become. That's not good. Here is an academic emailing another academic's boss asking to retract a Tweet expressing differing view on maskshttps://twitter.com/angie_rasmussen/status/1254957405432975360 …
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The one sure thing about
#COVID19 is uncertainty. Sweden may be wrong, but it may be right. It doesn't help that every response to a Tweet on Sweden is another Tweet showing a spike in deaths, when we ought to know the endpoint is next year not next month. Prasad and Flier--pic.twitter.com/UHnAL3BbPf
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Is it not more dangerous for the public to have officials dismiss this uncertainty? Multiple German colleagues have confirmed the thesis of this Atlantic article that A. Merkel's transparency contributes to the German success https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2020/04/angela-merkel-germany-coronavirus-pandemic/610225/ …
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On the matter of the Santa Clara paper from Ioannidis and colleagues, yes, there were problems, but as my trialists friends have beaten into me over the years, “not statistically significant” is not the same thing as “no effect. See A Gelman https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2020/04/19/fatal-flaws-in-stanford-study-of-coronavirus-prevalence/ …pic.twitter.com/9dtoGI6WLn
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Without diminishing the people who have died from
#COVID19, we must remember that people harmed by the shutdown of businesses, the poor, who are getting poorer, do not have a voice in the public debate. Public intellectuals have the luxury of videoconferencing.Show this thread -
Last: All docs learn that any therapy comes with harms. Treating COVID19 is no different. I see much less discussion about the off-target morbidity and mortality caused from the intervention. Exhibit A--people with chronic conditions put out of work who can no longer afford meds
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Thank you.
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Epic level irony that vicious tribalism digs in, in the face of massive uncertainties. "One of the lingering questions of the pandemic has been how many people actually have the disease." Along with various trade-offs & collateral damage. While we still willingly go along.
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here’s an opposing view from someone who admires VP & JPAI: the op-ed was navel-gazing drivel, water-carrying for a scientist who produced the kind of work he himself wld normally criticize & then shamelessly promoted its fallacious conclusions to any trump surrogate who’d listen
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the sooner some scientists realize that this pandemic is not only a public health but also an economic and political crisis, and that the right is looking for any cover it can find to sell out the lives of working people for a buck, the better. lives are at stake
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