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drewg__'s profile
drew
drew
drew
@drewg__

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drew

@drewg__

electronic trading technologist, illiquid commodity futures enthusiast, hedge fund/HFT apologist, big idiot

NYC
Joined April 2009

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    1. George Pearkes‏ @pearkes May 22

      George Pearkes Retweeted Ellen R. Wald Ph.D. 🛢

      The idea that the very real environmental costs of EV input extraction somehow mean the net impact is higher than oil extraction and use is extremely funny.https://twitter.com/EnergzdEconomy/status/1395753299958276109 …

      George Pearkes added,

      Ellen R. Wald Ph.D. 🛢 @EnergzdEconomy
      The more I learn about mining the minerals and rare earths needed to make batteries for EVs, solar panels & other so-called clean tech, the more repulsed I am about the cavalier way environmentalists talk about raping the earth & our planet.
      Show this thread
      4 replies 7 retweets 53 likes
      Show this thread
    2. George Pearkes‏ @pearkes May 22

      Cost-benefit analysis is about as easy as policy evaluation gets and it somehow soars over the heads of these people. Anyhow congrats to the 🛢 gang for becoming anti-capitalist de-growthers I suppose, impressive ideology shift there.

      6 replies 0 retweets 26 likes
      Show this thread
    3. George Pearkes‏ @pearkes May 26

      George Pearkes Retweeted Javier Blas

      The de-growth faction of 🛢 Twitter continues to (ironically) grow!https://twitter.com/JavierBlas/status/1397622810839748612 …

      George Pearkes added,

      Javier BlasVerified account @JavierBlas
      5) What about returns? So far, there's little sign Big Oil can generate the RoACE it's used to in oil/gas in renewables. And I'm skeptical of EV charging as a business. So either accept lower RoACE (and cut divi as Shell / BP did), or stop capex and run the business for cash 5/5
      Show this thread
      3 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
      Show this thread
    4. drew‏ @drewg__ May 26
      Replying to @pearkes

      I do think Javier's point about increasing capex being unsustainable for the e&p industry is basically correct tho--in a world where consumption is dropping YoY the question is whether returns can be made up on renewables in a way that doesn't require divi cuts from supermajors

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    5. ValueHao‏ @ValueHao May 26
      Replying to @drewg__ @pearkes

      One interesting thing is that it's pretty easy to imagine a scenario where cutting back on oil production/E&P could actually be good for RoACE because they don't have to go further afield into more hostile places to keep reserves as high - focus on easy extraction instead

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      drew‏ @drewg__ May 26
      Replying to @ValueHao @pearkes

      Yeah I mean this is basically what Javier is saying, one option is just to stop new e&p capex and focus on keeping the margins you've got

      2:38 PM - 26 May 2021
      • 1 Like
      • ValueHao
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. ValueHao‏ @ValueHao May 26
          Replying to @drewg__ @pearkes

          whoops was being excessively maximalist in that reading I'm sure he didn't literally mean 0 out capex

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. George Pearkes‏ @pearkes May 26
          Replying to @ValueHao @drewg__

          Thing is even at $150 oil, if demand is falling in an inelastic way, not sure those assets actually work at scale.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Show replies

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