Since almost no people have the relevant expertise to build political forecasting models (it takes tons of work and even then is easy to get wrong), political betting markets are basically just a competition over what types of people suffer more from the Dunning–Kruger effect.
Replying to @NateSilver538
drew Retweeted drew
It's also just not a real markethttps://twitter.com/drewg__/status/1321888507682574336?s=19 …
drew added,
1:37 PM - 29 Oct 2020
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