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drewg__'s profile
drew
drew
drew
@drewg__

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drew

@drewg__

electronic trading technologist, illiquid commodity futures enthusiast, hedge fund/HFT apologist, big idiot

NYC
Joined April 2009

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    1. drew‏ @drewg__ 15 Aug 2019

      drew Retweeted Joe Weisenthal

      Lol this is like the 5th one of these I've seen in the past week. Every fintwitter person has their yield curve hat onhttps://twitter.com/TheStalwart/status/1162144419015012352 …

      drew added,

      Joe Weisenthal @TheStalwart
      I'm typically really against tweet threads. But here's a poll for non-FinTwit folks. Do you feel like you really understand why a curve inversion is seen as ominous, and do you think you'd benefit from a thread explaining why it is?
      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    2. Nick Fiore‏ @neekknack 15 Aug 2019
      Replying to @drewg__

      These are driving my insane; I wish people would just tweet it out rather than inane polls. The yield curve inversion can be explained in like 280 characters!

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Nick Fiore‏ @neekknack 15 Aug 2019
      Replying to @neekknack

      “Bond yields are expected to increase the longer the timeframe because, all else equal, the economy is expected to grow -so the curve ‘goes up’ over time; when the curve goes down it means the bond market expects growth to flatten or decline over time -as in a recession”

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Nick Fiore‏ @neekknack 15 Aug 2019
      Replying to @neekknack

      See!

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      drew‏ @drewg__ 15 Aug 2019
      Replying to @neekknack

      My preferred explanation is something like: A bond trader spills the blood of a newborn fawn over the minutes of the Fed, and if at the end of the ritual they percieve dark magicks, they sell their 10yr T bills. Eventually they become clairvoyant & predict a recession.

      6:05 PM - 15 Aug 2019 from Brooklyn, NY
      • 2 Likes
      • dwayne Nick Fiore
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Nick Fiore‏ @neekknack 15 Aug 2019
          Replying to @drewg__

          First, you gather bones from a crypt, crucially including an intact skull and ribs. Next, you place a dead heart in the ribs and chant “Sweet Mother, Sweet Mother, lend me your ear” until the Night Mother sends someone to tell you how likely a recession is. Super simple stuff.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. drew‏ @drewg__ 15 Aug 2019
          Replying to @neekknack

          It's the most fun the rates desk will have all year! (Well, that and comp time lmao)

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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