Looks like Idiocracy will really be our future.
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Would be nice if you did the cohort changes in polygenic scores of these. Has been done for education/IQ a few times but not all of these at once in ukbb.
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One naive way one could estimate this correlation is by taking currently-living perfectly-fertile people and correlating their number of children with the GWAS results. This is vulnerable to bias due to not counting the children they will have later.
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Are these estimates affected by this bias?
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So what does this imply for IQ after accounting for hidden heritability? How much of g is being lost per decade?
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It looks like roughly 3 IQ points per century. Not a source for immediate panic, but worth bearing in mind.https://twitter.com/Bioliberalism/status/1288610626454028290 …
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Let me guess you didn't calculate the results within the family. Probably making the effect larger.
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This negative genetic selection on intelligence, educational attainment, and childhood IQ is an under-appreciated trend, especially by professional trend-watchers.
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We should bear a thought for the hereditarians who, for at least a century, have been predicting this would happen. On the one hand, they have been constantly vilified, but on the other hand their predictions turned out to be correct. Funny how that works!
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Depressing
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