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  1. prije 5 sati
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    prije 9 sati

    I don’t think much of Dershowitz, but I try never to be silent when ANYONE is slandered and lied about. As for impeachment: the only important point is that “only actual crimes are impeachable” is a politically DEFENSIBLE position, and the Democrats neglected to allege crimes.

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    Any model that ever had the Chiefs at a 4% chance to win should be scrapped. It's hard to believe historic data would support that number, let alone the observation that the number of big plays always goes up a the end of the game.

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    29. sij

    Baryshev: millimetron a 10m deployable cooled sebum FIR telescope.Launch:2029 officially. L2 orbit antenna and focal plane cooled to 10K mechanically used sun shield.Lekhachev now PI. 9350 kg launch mass (6500 payload). 7.5kW Power. Mirror Areal density 8.5kg/m2.

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    If an algorithm has "mastered natural language", I would expect it to be able to do some of the things language is for -- communicating information, receiving information, acting on the world... Not merely output something that statistically sounds like language.

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. velj

    Hackers have starting putting their tutorials on PornHub, and I’m the person who approves web security exceptions for the Red Team. I am not looking forward to this world.

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  8. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj
    Odgovor korisnicima

    A CFR of 8% is scary (80x deadlier than the flu!) What if China underestimates mild/unreported cases not by 10x but by 100x? Super conservative, right? That'd be a CFR of 0.8%, still 8x deadlier than the flu. Uncontained, 8x deadlier than the flu means it'd kill 1M+ worldwide

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj

    Performance artist generates virtual traffic jams in Google Maps by pulling a wagon full of smartphones

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 18 sati

    24424,11819,1109,3209,30000

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj

    Donald Trump’s got the whole of America talking about whether Michael Bloomberg is so small he’ll need to stand on a box for TV debates. This is indisputably a form of genius, stable or otherwise.

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 23 sata
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    He's right and wrong. Right: we will find lab-confirmed infections previously not reported. This would decrease CFR. Wrong: he forgets that the naive CFR is bound to increase due to the simple math reasons explained in the thread

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  13. 3. velj

    interesting that tom believes the opposite will happen re: CFR

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  14. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Hearing more & more CEOs subtly discourage (but not restrict) employees from having political debates in the office, on productivity & team cohesion grounds. Politics is the mind-killer, the religion-replacement, the opiate of the masses—and polarizes more than any other topic.

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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    From 1st symptoms to death, the novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV kills in 14 days (measured on tiny sample of first 17 deaths) 14 days ago: 62 cases Today: 12,027 cases—up 200x If nothing changes (big assumption,) by Feb 15 there should be 200 times more deaths or 50,000.

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  16. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj

    Still not convinced that a naive CFR calculation is useless? Here is a pure math simulation where the probability of dying 7-8 days after infection is CONSTANT at 30%. And yet the naive CFR starts at ~2% and rises to ~30% only at the end of the epidemic

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  17. 2. velj

    it's pretty amazing watching distortions become truth so quickly too bad the court of public opinion is the only one that matters

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  18. 2. velj

    just found this by and now I'm excited for his free OC

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Could you include some real-world charts of the "naive" CFR (deaths / cases) like below for Ebola & SARS? Even authors of peer-reviewed papers don't seem to all grasp that the naive CFR is expected to increase between the beginning and the end of a deadly outbreak.

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    1. velj
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