#Futurist rule 1: any futurist who says, "X is impossible in 10 years" is more likely than not to be wrong.
Futurist rule 2: any futurist who says, "everyone will X within 10 years," is almost certainly wrong.
Logistic growth curves spend a lot of time between 0% and 100%.https://twitter.com/Genomethics/status/990971269456781312 …
That tracks with how 'everyone' is used in practice. In conversation we often follow this with "well, *practically* everyone..."
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I'm comfortable predicting that sequencing will be a standard part of the birth process for most people in 10 years. Including the Amish, but probably not Jehovah's Witnesses or Christian Scientists.
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