Dan Hopkins

@dhopkins1776

Political scientist . Prof: 538:

Joined June 2017
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    1 Jun 2018

    Thrilled that my book "The Increasingly United States" has been released--you can buy it at Amazon now: . Thrilled, too, to see 's reflections on it via Vox:

    10 replies 54 retweets 174 likes
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  2. 23 hours ago

    Informally, I find coordination games a really helpful way of thinking about party primaries and intra-party dynamics. Does anyone know of good, possibly more formal work that uses coordination games to think through these topics? I know of Aldrich (1995) and The Party Decides.

    1 reply 2 likes
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  3. Retweeted
    Mar 4
    Replying to

    To your point, in 2016, Trump was perceived ideologically to be with a single point of the average respondent. That's very moderate by conventional standards.

    1 retweet 1 like
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  4. Mar 4

    And yes, for all your Russian speakers out there, I am *well* aware that "Ваши глаза похожи на мясо" isn't a thing. Except now in the household, apparently.

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  5. Mar 4

    A coda to this story (which totally made my day, maybe my year). The next day, I crossed paths with the woman, whom I don't think I'd ever formally met. Since she didn't know my name, she stamped her feet to get my attention, and then said accusingly, "do you speak Russian?"

    Tiny things we do can have repercussions years later. In college, I was trying to flirt with a woman. My friend knew that her parents were Russian, so he told me to try this line on her: "Vashi glaza pokhozhi na myaso."
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  6. Mar 4

    the substantive magnitude was almost identical in 2012, when Obama was perceived as further left (2.08) from the average respondent than Biden was to the right (-1.38).

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  7. Mar 4

    Curious about Americans over 30 and their October 2020 perceptions of Trump's and Biden's ideologies? Yes, respondents did on average see Biden as further from them to the left than Trump was to the right (2.10 vs. -1.42) but...

    3 replies 4 retweets 12 likes
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  8. Mar 3

    This talk begins in just over 15 minutes--join us!

    First up is Hakeem Jefferson () on March 3 at 1pm Eastern teaching us about "The Social Construction of Blackness". Link to register is here:
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    1 reply 1 like
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  9. Feb 17

    Of course, the goal of making policy is to make good policy, not to reshape public opinion. (In fact, policy isn't a very good tool for that. See ) But politics can surely undermine a policy, so policymakers need to keep an eye on political dynamics. 7/7

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  10. Feb 17

    Another lesson: the content of the law is ultimately more influential than how you communicate about the law. Lipstick something something? (That draws on my 2018 piece, "The Exaggerated Life of Death Panels?") 6/

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  11. Feb 17

    But clear, direct benefits (like the Medicaid expansion) can build public support. (That's something and I reported in a Public Opinion Quarterly article: ) 5/

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  12. Feb 17

    Partly, that is because losses loom larger than gains in the public's estimation. 4/

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  13. Feb 17

    A related lesson is that the law is likely to be evaluated to a substantial extent based on its *least* popular element. The whole is decidedly not equal to the sum of its parts. 3/

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  14. Feb 17

    One lesson, drawing on my research with Will Hobbs, is keep it simple. Complex laws can obscure their own benefits. 2/

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  15. Feb 17

    My latest piece is out. Whether it's on COVID-19 or climate change, Democrats have an ambitious legislative agenda. What can we learn from public opinion on the ACA (aka Obamacare) that might guide Democrats as they try to pass it? 1/

    3 replies 10 retweets 42 likes
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  16. Feb 16

    Far from being a break on nationalizing trends, local and state GOP officials are a key engine of them. Insights from

    The Trumpiest part of the Republican Party is not in D.C. Our look at how local and state GOP officials in particular are the ones pushing the party's direction and preventing any break from Trump and Trumpism.
    29 retweets 68 likes
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  17. Retweeted
    Feb 11

    We're very excited for our upcoming joint seminar series with the APSA section. You should be too! Thread on the upcoming talks. Mark your calendars!

    1 reply 11 retweets 30 likes
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  18. Retweeted
    Feb 10

    Eager to share (+&Lauren Davenport)! Using conjoint w/large sample of White, Black, & biracial Ams., we examine how much Black categorization is attributable to fixed, biological characteristics & how much is socially, culturally,&politically constructed. Join us!

    First up is Hakeem Jefferson () on March 3 at 1pm Eastern teaching us about "The Social Construction of Blackness". Link to register is here:
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    2 replies 11 retweets 68 likes
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  19. Retweeted
    Feb 10

    The Political Psychology and EPOVB sections of are once again joining forces for a virtual seminar series. We have a great spring lineup, including , , , and . See for all the details

    1 reply 16 retweets 60 likes
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  20. Retweeted
    Feb 8

    Another great, practical article. It’s what we do.

    | How many attributes can researchers include in conjoint experiments before survey satisficing degrades response quality? , Hainmueller, & Yamamoto address that question. In until the end of March 2021 👉
    1 reply 5 retweets 41 likes
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  21. Feb 3

    Grateful to colleagues for this coverage of my article with N. Olin & T. Tse on our grant-funded experiment here in PHL encouraging voting by mail. Here's the PNAS article:

    1 retweet 8 likes
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