Myth debunking:
After reading more misleading takes in the media, I'm going to try to explain this again- overall, omicron causes *more* and not less severe disease than delta - even at an individual level for most people. Why? 
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Takes like this for example, completely miss the point:https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/dec/26/omicron-bleak-new-year-or-beginning-of-the-end-for-the-pandemic …
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Remember, a huge part of the omicron advantage is being able to infect people with previous immunity that delta wouldn't have been able to penetrate. To argue that this somehow leads to a reduction in risk, is frankly nuts.
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So be wary of 'conditional takes' - that discuss risk of hospitalisation *once infected* because they don't account for the risk of infection which is hugely increased, and overall risk individually depends on both.
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And also on takes that don't acknowledge that omicron is infecting people who wouldn't have been infected by delta- many with prior immunity so with protection from severe disease- but still be more likely to get ill overall because delta wouldn't have infected them at all.
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End of conversation
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Idly wondering in a depressed manner if omicron may lead to faster waning of immunity against a variant that is more alpha or delta-like in March, enabling that's spread. Wear a mask. Limit contact as much as you can. Asymptomatic transmission is a problem.
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Great point
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Protection from serious outcomes by Covid infection is still very high, so that a large number of vaccinated people will assess their personal risk as lower that in previous waves. From a individual perspective: Omicron infection >> Delta infection. How does that help compliance?
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People were vaccinated to make this possible. We need to assess how much at risk vulnerable, unvaccinated individuals are. If it’s considerably lower with Omicron than with prev. VOC it’s pretty much over in the conception of an average individual. Media’ll drive that pic as well
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The problem is your data produces scare curves because it's not nuanced enough. There are other variables being missed, as well as how the pandemic is playing out worldwide. Vaccines less effective, yes. But breakthrough infection is way less dangerous than it was.
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