Just re-re-re-reading @PTetlock and @dgardner "Superforecasting". Such a good book - and full of subtleties. Recommended. https://amzn.to/2GquLtq
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Ignoring the error in scoring system of course. The original work used 25 questions and didn’t contemplate 100+ at which point the system can be gamed. Which then raises the issue if an algorithm can beat the system, are there really supers?
- Još 4 druga odgovora
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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