Current thinking on COVID-19: (thread) 1. This virus is too dangerous to let spread through a population unchecked. Not only bc of health services capacity & deaths in elderly/vulnerable groups, but also because of the morbidity it causes. Not the flu but a multi-system disease.
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The 'least worst' path out 'test/trace/isolate' will be stretched when winter hits & flu symptoms rise which can be the same as COVID symptoms. Already hard for hospitals to categorize patients (green/red/amber) without testing them. 2nd winter lockdown needs to be avoided.
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Increasing # of countries attempting/succeeding at national elimination (get rid of virus w/ border screening) like Australia, Thailand, Vietnam, Faroe Islands, Iceland, New Zealand & E.Asian countries. They can form safe 'travel bubble' & wait for other countries to join them.
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Instead of living with constant threat of Covid-19, people might start asking their own governments – why not try to get rid of it altogether? With border checks, people can return to "normal" life whether seeing elderly relatives, opening schools full-time, & sports & weddings.
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End of conversation
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When will we get it watch the celtic again in person?
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8yr old said to me today that she misses playing
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How many people are you willing to sacrifice at the alter of capitalism this time? Any of your family up for the sacrifice or just everybody else’s?
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Yes but a lot more businesses will be viable at 1m, we can’t afford to wait for utopia/all. Maths tells story of current risk.
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Shops and pubs do not need to be open.
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Please, what is 1m, 2m?
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Really helpful thread which tells me that the way out certainly isn’t easy but, with proper commitment from government, it is achievable. Devi Sridhar’s guidance has been outstanding throughout.
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