My suggestion: bring down daily new cases to a low level, get test/trace/isolate in place and core infrastructure build up, get regular testing going for essential workers/teachers/students, monitor borders for imported cases, & move to mandatory masks in shops/public transport.
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Then ease measures while testing widely & w/ good data systems that alert public whether it is red/amber/green in their area. Need clusters of cases identified rapidly & broken up before tips over into sustained community transmission. If it tips, hard to avoid another lockdown.
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Problem in using lag indicators: 21 days on average from infection to death- and countries seem to track 'progress' based on deaths. So by the time the data is worrying & increase in deaths is exponential, it's already too late.
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Agree, and I think they'll have to bring back some of restrictions again in a few weeks.
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I really hope you are wrong but...
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Do your duty PM Johnson/cummings RESIGN NOW
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That'd be their *civic* duty...
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Without question, we had 350 odd deaths in total when we went into 'lockdown' on 23rd March. 377 announced today, alone, its hugely rushed, hugely reckless and far too premature. We haven't done enough to get the numbers down, now they can only go up again
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Because herd immunity is still in force as it was from the start.
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